Thursday, January 3, 2008

It ain't just snow!



Here are the totals for the New Years Eve/Day Snow Storm across the area from the NWS Chicago Office.

New Years Eve/Day Snowfall

Storm total snowfall from December 31st through January 1st…








Location

Total










St. Charles (7NW)
7.9"


Barrington

7.1"


St. Charles

7.0"


St. Anne

6.8"


Herscher

6.7"


Wauconda

6.5"


Elgin


6.4"


Batavia


6.3"


Dekalb


6.2"


Bourbonnais

6.2"


Chatsworth

6.0"


Elgin


5.7"


Streamwood

5.7"


Oak Brook

5.4"


Paw Paw

5.3"


Harvard


5.0"


Watseka

5.0"


LaGrange

4.8"


Beecher

4.8"


Chicago Botanic Gardens
4.7"


Northbrook

4.6"


Rockford (offical)

4.5"


Steward

4.5"


Chicago OHare (official)
4.4"


Mundelein

4.4"


Lisle


4.0"


Midway (3SW)

4.0"


Ottawa (3SW)

4.0"


Joliet East

3.9"


Yorkville


3.8"


Milford


3.8"


Woodstock (5NW)
3.7"


LaGrange

3.6"


Downers Grove

3.6"


Roscoe


3.5"


Joliet (2N)

3.3"


NWS Romeoville

3.0"


Dwight


3.0"


Coal City

3.0"


Beach Park

2.9"


Peru


2.6"


Rochelle

2.5"


Schaumburg

2.5"


Channahon

2.5"


Mendota

2.4"


Gibson City

2.3"


Joliet Lock and Dam
2.0"


Paxton


2.0"


South Beloit

1.7"


Dixon (East-Side)
1.3"


Willowbrook

1.3"










Indiana














Chesterton

11.3"


Valparaiso (5NNE)
10.2"


Lake Village

9.8"


Demotte

8.1"


Morroco

8.0"


Lowell


6.8"


Valparaiso (3SE)

5.6"


Schererville

5.1"


Wanatah

5.0"


So you think its just snow and flurries in Florida! Try the rest of the world!

CURRENT ACTIVE STORMS IN THE WORLD



South Indian Ocean
-----------------------

Area of Responsibility
=================================
BOM - Perth (90E-130E, South of 10S)
BOM - Northern Territory (130E-140E, South of 10S)
TCWC Jakarta, Indonesia (90E-130E, North of 10S)


Bureau of Meteorology - Perth

(1) Central South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (03Jan)
==================================
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Melanie was located near 22.8S 106.4E as of 10 am WDT. The low is not expected to redevelop into a tropical cyclone.

There are no other significant lows evident in the central southeastern Indian Ocean at this time.

(2) Southeast Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (03Jan)
=================================
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Darwin is currently issuing advices for a developing tropical low near 14S 128E. Although the low is expected to develop further it is not expected to move into the western australia region.

Another tropical low (weak) is currently near 17S 116E and is moving northeast. The low is expected to weaken further and not develop into a tropical cyclone.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary (1800z 02Jan)
============================================
The area of convection (92S) near 16.4S 114.2E or 350 NM north of Learmouth, Australia. Recent microwave and enhanced infrared imagery indicates a loosely organized low level circulation center with the main burst of convection to the west of the low level circulation center. Upper level support is limited due to moderate shear values and interaction of the remnant of Melanie.

Maximum sustained winds near the center is 15-20 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 998 mb. Due to high vertical wind shear values, the potential of this disturbance to form into a significate tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is POOR.

Bureau of Meteorology - Northern Territory

TROPICAL LOW
14.3S 127.9E - 30 knots 990 hPa

Tropical Cyclone Advice/Warning #2
=================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Low [993 hPa] located near 14.1S 128.0E or 155 kms north of Wyndham and 365 west-southwest of Darwin had 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts up to 45 knots. The low is reported moving west at 6 knots.

The low is expected to become slow moving, and possibly develop into a TROPICAL CYCLONE tonight or tomorrow morning, before moving eastward toward the Top End of the Northern Territory.

GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Mitchell Plateau in Western Australia and Daly River Mouth in the Northern Territory overnight or early tomorrow morning.

If the system were to take a more northeast track, there is the possibility that GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Daly River Mouth and Goulburn Island, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands late on Friday or on
Saturday.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding in the north Kimberley region from tomorrow.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding in the north Kimberley region from tomorrow.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warning
===============================

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Mitchell Plateau in Western Australia to Daly River Mouth in the Northern Territory.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities from Daly River Mouth to Goulburn Island, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands


Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold)

December/January
04U.Melanie - 966 hPa
05U.NONAME - 994 hPa

06U.NONAME - 990 hPa
-----------------------
South Pacific Ocean
------------------------

Area of Responsibility
=============================
RSMC Nadi - Fiji Meteorological Services (E of 160E)
Bureau of Meteorology - Brisbane (W of 160E/S of 10S)
TCWC - Port Moresby (W of 160/N of 10S)
TCWC Wellington - New Zealand (E of 160E/S of 25S)

RSMC Nadi

No Current Tropical Bulletins/Advisories

Brisbane Bureau of Meteorology - Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (02January)
===============================
The low pressure system located over the central Coral Sea is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone. It is still producing strong to gale force winds over a broad area east of southern Queensland and over coastal waters south of about St. Lawrence.

----------------------
Southwestern Indian Ocean
-----------------------

Area of Responsibility
=================================
RSMC Metro France - La Reunion

DEPRESSION TROPICALE, EX-ELNUS
22.5ºS 40.8ºE - 30 knots 998 hPa

Tropical Cyclone Warning #15
=============================================
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Ex-Elnus [998 hPa] located near 22.5S 40.8E or 1495 kms west of the coast of Reunion had 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts up to 45 knots. The storm is reported moving south-southeast at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.5

Near Gale-Force Winds within 30 NM from the center extending up to 90 NM in the southwestern quadrant and up to 140 NM in the southeastern quadrant, and locally reaching 35kts in the southeastern semi-circle up to 30 nm from the center.

Strong gusts under squalls.

Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 24.0S 41.0E 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Moderée)
48 HRS: 24.9S 41.4E 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)

Additional Information
========================
The low level circulation center is partially exposed northwest of the deep convection due to a rather strong northwestly vertical wind shear. Elnus should track southward for the next 36 hours and take advantage of a decreasing wind shear to slightly re-intensify to moderate tropical storm stage. Beyond located between two upper level ridges, the first shifting eastward and the other rebuilding in the west, the system should track southeastwards.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Cyclone Warning #6
============================
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Nine (Elnus) had 1 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The cyclone was located 390 NM west-southwest of Antananarivo, Madagascar moving south-southeast at 4 knots.

Significant wave height associated with 09S Elnus is 17 feet.

Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold)

December/January

06R.ELNUS - 994 hpa

MARTIME NOTES

The Internatio
nal Maritime Human Element Bulletin, Issue 1

The PDF version of issue 16 of the Alert! Bulletin is now available for download from: http://www.he-alert.org/documents/bulletin/Alert!_16.pdf

You can also view a Flash version at: http://publishing.yudu.com/A5lhu/AlertIssue16

Issue 16 of Alert! focuses on complacency and routinisation. It introduces the term Rogue Behaviour to describe some of the character traits that can bring about a culture of non-compliance, lapses of judgment and unprofessional behaviour.

Included are articles from accident investigators, academics and a ship master offering some thoughts on how to overcome some of these traits.

Some rogue behaviour inducing conditions are readily recognisable: boredom, complacency, drudgery, familiarity, ignorance, impulsiveness, risk taking and routinisation. Others may not be so easy to recognise: apathy, assumptions, compliance, contentment, contempt, dumbing-down, invulnerability, perceptions, predictability and seclusion – all of these are explored further in the centrespread feature of this bulletin.

Through the Alert! Project, we seek to represent the views of all sectors of the maritime industry – contributions for the Bulletin, letters to the editor and articles and papers for the website database are always welcome.


And we welcome your comments on this report!

RS