Sea alarms set

Sea alarms set

The final two buoys for a tsunami alert network are deployed

By Gary T. Kubota

WAILUKU » The final two tsunami detection buoys for the Pacific warning network were deployed this week, completing a system of sensors begun after the 2004 Indian Ocean disaster that killed hundreds of thousands of people.

Scientists say the new system will show whether an earthquake has generated a deep-ocean wave, reducing the chances of an unnecessary evacuation in Hawaii and increasing detection coverage in places such as the western Pacific and South America.

"It means that basically our uncertainties about tsunamis from tricky places have pretty much been removed," said Gerard Fryer, a geophysicist for the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center in Ewa Beach. "Right now, as far as Hawaii is concerned, we no longer have any blind spots, and let me tell you it's a wonderful feeling."

The final two buoys were deployed off the Solomon Islands, about 111 miles northeast of Australia. The network has 39 stations in the Pacific, Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.

Fryer said that before 2004 there were six tsunami detection buoys, four of them in the Pacific and two not working.

He said scientists continue to monitor the magnitude of earthquakes and potential tsunamis through a network of seismometers.

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Before the development of buoy technology, scientists measured wave changes through tidal gauges along coastlines.

Buoys that record wave pressure at the bottom of the ocean have enabled scientists to be more accurate in their predictions, Fryer said. Unlike surface waves generated by wind, tsunamis reach all the way to the bottom of the ocean.

The latest deep-ocean buoys, which are more reliable and cost about half as much as ones made several years ago, are able to receive wave information through low-energy sound from seabed sensors. Information is transmitted from the buoy to a constellation of earth-circling satellites.

While the northern Pacific Rim is known for frequent earthquakes, South America was the source of a tsunami in 1960 that killed 61 people in Hilo.

The magnitude of the earthquake in Chile was so large it went off the scientific measuring scale at the time and was thought initially to be magnitude 8.5, Fryer said.

Fryer said scientists took 10 years to determine that the earthquake in Chile was a 9.5.

"It was far bigger than anybody understood," he said.

Fryer said to make matters worse, an earthquake of 8.4 had generated waves of a few inches the day before the tragedy, so people "thought it was no big deal."

"We have much better instruments now," he said. "We understand the process much better."

The U.S. Tsunami Warning System is operated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which also oversees the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center. The agency, part of the Department of Commerce, is also working with 70 countries and the European Commission to develop an integrated global monitoring network.

FROM HOLLAND AND KNIGHT

NOAA – US tsunami warning system completed The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued a news release stating that, with the recent deployment of two tsunami detection buoys in the South Pacific, the US tsunami warning system has been completed. (3/10/08).

WEATHER NOTES

Ice "Bergs" on Lake Michigan

The relatively warmer temperatures and sunshine of the last several days have caused areas of ice that had been affixed to the western shore of Lake Michigan off the Racine and Kenosha areas to break away from the shore. The blustery west winds on Tuesday have carried these floating ice "bergs" several miles away from shore.

Here is a high resolution MODIS visible satellite image from 102 pm CDT from March 10th.

It shows the ice remaining along the shore from Milwaukee south to Racine, Kenosha and the Illinois State Line.

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What a difference a day makes! Here is a high resolution satellite image from Tuesday taken at 144 pm CDT.

The warmer temperatures, sunshine and brisk west winds have caused the ice to break away from shore and float several miles away from shore. The above freezing temperatures expected the next several days should cause these floating ice "bergs" to shrink and disappear.

Marc Kavinsky - Senior Forecaster/Meteorologist

Being prepared

Published 3/12/2008

By EMILY BEHLMANN

ebehlmann@gctelegram.com

Coming off of what the National Weather Service calls a record-breaking year for tornadoes in Kansas -- a total of 137 occurred in 2007, killing 14 people and injuring 82 -- several agencies are working to educate Kansans this week about severe weather preparedness.

The National Weather Service, the Kansas Emergency Management Association and the Department of Emergency Management have declared this week as Kansas Severe Weather Awareness Week.

Locally, efforts have included awareness and storm-spotter training sessions on Monday and a tornado siren test and statewide drill on Tuesday, according to Cathy Hernandez, Finney County Emergency Management coordinator.

The National Weather Service states that severe weather can threaten Kansans all year long, and Jamie Bielinski, a weather service meteorologist based in Dodge City, said residents need to realize that severe weather like tornadoes can strike anytime.

However, she said, the season that statistically sees the most tornadoes is approaching, generally running from April through June.

Tornadoes aren't the only severe-weather threat. In 2007, several severe thunderstorms, with hail and high winds, caused millions of dollars in damage to property and crops.

One came to Finney County on Aug. 20, with gusts killing a woman at Meadow Lake Park and causing damage at places including Holcomb High School, Sunflower Electric Power Corp., Peterbilt and Labrador Apartments.

The National Weather Service also warns Kansans that they should be prepared for weather like flooding and what a weather service guide calls "the underrated killer" -- lightning.

Hernandez said Finney County Emergency Management takes steps to ensure severe-weather readiness, like training storm spotters and maintaining relationships with ham radio operators who assist personnel in emergencies.

During severe weather, county public works employees serve as storm spotters and traditional first responders -- firefighters, police officers, sheriff's deputies and Emergency Medical Services employees -- go out in force to handle problems, she said.

To help avoid problems in the first place, Hernandez said her department is pushing public education through means like a Citizen Emergency Preparedness Guide. The guide is available in the Emergency Management office at the Law Enforcement Center, and it soon will be distributed throughout the community.

Hernandez and Carolyn Henry, director of Garden City's chapter of the American Red Cross, stress awareness and preparedness on an individual basis, and by businesses and organizations, as the best ways to avoid harm during severe weather. The first step is to realize when there is a risk of severe weather by paying attention to watches and warnings. A "watch" means that conditions are favorable for severe weather, and it should prompt people to keep abreast of the weather for the day, Bielinski said. A "warning" means the threat is imminent.

"If they hear a warning, they need to immediately take shelter," she said.

Tornado warnings are sounded with outdoor sirens, but Bielinski said it's usually hard to hear them indoors. That's why she recommends keeping up with television or radio reports, and using an All Hazards NOAA weather radio.

"A weather radio is basically like having a tornado siren in your home," she said.

When severe weather does strike, Henry said, it's essential to already have a disaster plan in place.

"If they're aware of what you need to do, they're not going to panic," she said. "They will not go through the stress of 'What should we do? Where should we go?'"

For a family, that plan should include two places to meet following disaster: one location right outside the home in case of a sudden emergency, like a fire, and one location outside the neighborhood in case the area is evacuated.

A plan also should include two out-of-town contacts reachable by each family member.

Henry also emphasized the need to keep a kit with a three-day supply of essential items, including important paperwork and some cash. Even if someone uses a Red Cross shelter, the agency won't be able to attend to all needs immediately, she said.

More information about severe weather preparedness is available at the Web sites for the National Weather Service in Dodge City at www.weather.gov/ddc and the U.S. Department of Homeland Security's Ready Campaign, www.ready.gov.

MARITIME NOTES

MAIB publishes report of FR8 VENTURE tragedy in Pentland Firth
Report into incident on tanker on 11th November 2006 which resulted in fatalities.

At about 1220 on 11 November 2006, while outbound from Scapa Flow and transiting the Pentland Firth, the 74,065 dwt Singaporean registered tanker, FR8 VENTURE, shipped two large waves over her bow. This resulted in the death of two able seamen (ABs) and serious injuries to an ordinary seaman (OS), all of whom were working on the forward mooring deck. The waves also caused minor damage to the ship.

From 10 to 11 November, FR8 VENTURE carried out a ship-to-ship transfer with another tanker, Perseverance, while at anchor in Scapa Flow, and loaded a full cargo of crude oil. The loading operations were completed at 0536, and Perseverance let go from FR8 VENTURE and left Scapa Flow. FR8 VENTURE weighed anchor at about 1054 and the two pilots disembarked near the entrance to Scapa Flow at about 1136. The wind was west to west-north-west and near gale force, with waves of about 4 to 5m high. The ship’s freeboard was about 6.6m and spray was being shipped on board. The tidal stream was flowing generally in the same direction as the wind. (report continued)


RS

Busy Pacific Storms

While its been extremely quiet in the Atlantic the Pacific is entirely another story.

To date there have been some 15 named storms and another three weather systems of interest harrassing the area. Unlike the Atlantic Hurricane season typhoons can run year round in the Pacific.

Tropical Cyclone Krosa now a tropical storm is now tracking toward China. At the last observation, on 2007/10/07 6:00 UTC, tropical cyclone KROSA is a Tropical Storm with maximum sustained wind speeds of 25 m/s (92 km/h, 50 knots) according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. Meanwhile, another system Typhoon Lekima, triggered floods and landslides which battered Vietnam's central coast earlier this week and killed up to 34 people and left 19 others missing. Thousands of homes were destroyed in two central provinces of Ha Tinh and Quang Binh, Vietnamees officials reported on Sunday. Lekima was the fifth typhoon to hit Vietnam this season. Tug boats were stabilizing the M/V Aladdin Dream which ran aground during the storm.

Freak Waves?

Here is a interesting story from New Zealand on a reported "freak wave" in one of New Zealand's worse maritime accidents.

Sinking just a 'freak accident'

5:00AM Sunday October 07, 2007
By Michelle Coursey

An official report into one of New Zealand's worst maritime tragedies, the sinking of the Kotuku fishing boat in Foveaux Strait last year, attempts to lay blame where it shouldn't, say family members of the victims.

The 17-metre trawler capsized on May 13 last year, reportedly after being hit by two large waves, on its way back to Bluff from the Titi Islands, near Stewart Island.

Six people died in the incident - including members of three generations of one family - while three others narrowly escaped with their lives by swimming to a nearby island.

On board were members of the Topi family, a well-known clan in Bluff - Leslie Topi (known as Peter), 78, his daughter Tania Topi, 41, and his two grandsons Shain Topi-Tairi and Sailor Trow-Topi, both aged nine, all died; while Paul Topi and Dylan Topi both survived the accident.

Skipper John Edminstin also survived, but his friend Ian "Shorty" Hayward, 52, and crew member Clinton Woods, 34, perished.

Last week, the first preliminary report was released on the tragedy by the Transport Accident Investigation Commission, but those close to the victims are unhappy about its contents, and plan to tell the TAIC what they have got wrong.

The report, which is over 100 pages long, has been released to a very small number of "interested parties" - largely the immediate family of those who died - but none are able to share what's in it due to legal restrictions.

Those who have seen it have had it "drummed" into them that they are not allowed to discuss its findings until after a meeting to be held this Thursday. The closed hearing will be held in Invercargill, where the three-member Commission will hear submissions from those affected.

All of those who spoke to the Herald on Sunday yesterday intended to be at the hearing, or make submissions via email on the content of the report.

But at least one family member, who did not wish to be named, said the conclusion of the findings was the part they found most objectionable, as it tried to "find something wrong" with various factors, including people's actions and the boat, to explain the incident.

"They've tried to find something to blame but it was a freak accident. They can't seem to accept there were two waves, and that's what did it."

While previous reports have speculated the boat may have been overloaded - it was carrying around 60 buckets of muttonbird on deck when it left the Titi Islands - the TAIC findings apparently do not say that was the cause.

Neither do they apportion blame to alcohol being consumed; however, they do make suggestions as to what might have been done by those onboard to survive.

"That just seems pointless. I guess they have to do it, because they said this report is meant to tell other people what not to do, but it's a bit late now."

The report includes much technical detail, including stability testing on the boat, and a close analysis of its seaworthiness. Some of the information in it has come as a surprise to family members, but then "we weren't on the boat" they say. And neither were the writers of this report, they add.

Edminstin did not wish to speak at length to the Herald on Sunday yesterday, preferring to save his comments on the tragedy for after the government reports were finalised.

TAIC hopes to release its final findings by the end of the year, but that will "depend on the extent of further work required following next week's hearing", chief commissioner Bill Jeffries said in a press release.

However, after that, another report will be put together by Maritime New Zealand, and Southland coroner Trevor Savage is waiting for both before deciding if an inquest into the deaths would be held.

Judy Hayward, who lost her husband Ian in the sinking, and who has since relocated to Melbourne, said every time someone mentioned the name of the boat to her "it brings it all up again", and she was looking forward to when "all of it has finished".

After reading the report, she would make her submission to the commission via email, but agreed that it was simply an accident.

"At the end of the day you can't change the sea. No amount of preparation can change the strength of the sea and no amount of reporting will make it [the accident] go away."

Another widow, Joyce Topi, who lost husband Peter, said she had not read the report because she didn't believe it needed to be written in the first place. "It's nobody's fault, it was an accident."

The Kotuku itself continues to sit rusting in the backyard of an old timber mill outside of Invercargill.

Edminstin still plans to burn the boat when it is returned to him - he has no use for it now.

"It should never have been lifted up," said Judy Hayward. "It was already a graveyard."

My favorite subject, USCG Rescue Teams.
2006 AIRSTA SAV rescue clips to music.




Weather Note

Chicago Weather for October? 88 degrees? Unheard of ! And what did the heat do the Chicago Marathon?

One dead, 250 hospitalized after heat-shortened Chicago Marathon Associated Press - October 7, 2007 5:43 PM ET

CHICAGO (AP) - A Michigan man died while running the Chicago Marathon as stifling heat and humidity forced race organizers to shut down the course midway through the race. Authorities say the 35-year-old man collapsed while running on the city's South Side and was pronounced dead at a Veteran's Affairs hospital.Some 250 people were taken to hospitals because of heat-related ailments.

The decision to turn runners around effectively ended the race for many thousands midway through the course. Organizers closed the second half of the course just before noon, four hours after the annual race started with temperatures already touching 73 degrees with 86% humidity. By 10 a.m., temperatures had already reached a race-record of 88 degrees.

The men's race was won by Kenya's Patrick Ivuti (eh-VOO'-tee). Ethiopia's Berhane Adere (buhr-HAYN' ah-DAHR') rallied to successfully defend her women's title.

Copyright 2007 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed

RS